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Market noteIndustrial & logistics

Small bays, scarce land: the case for infill light industrial

Multi-tenant light industrial and shallow-bay buildings in infill locations serve some of the most durable demand in the economy. Why we favor them over big-box distribution, and how we add value.

Industrial real estate has enjoyed a remarkable period of investor attention. Much of it has gone to very large distribution buildings on the edges of metropolitan areas, built for national retailers and logistics companies. Caldrion’s industrial strategy deliberately looks elsewhere: to the smaller, older, multi-tenant buildings tucked inside established neighborhoods, close to the people and businesses they serve.

This note explains why Caldrion believes multi-tenant light industrial and shallow-bay warehouses in infill locations are among the most compelling opportunities in American real estate, what we look for, how we add value and the risks we take seriously.

A different kind of industrial

Large bulk distribution buildings and small-bay infill industrial are often grouped under the same heading. We believe they are different businesses.

A big-box distribution building typically has one tenant, a long lease and a location chosen for highway access and cheap land. Its value depends heavily on that single tenant and on the supply of competing buildings, which can be added relatively quickly on available land at the metropolitan edge.

A multi-tenant light industrial building has many tenants, shorter leases and a location chosen decades ago, often before the surrounding area filled in. Its tenants are contractors, local distributors, light manufacturers, fabricators, service businesses and last-mile delivery operators. They need to be close to their customers. They need loading, storage and workspace that office and retail buildings cannot provide. And many of them have nowhere else to go.

We believe the most valuable industrial buildings are the ones that cannot be replaced at any reasonable cost.

Why infill small-bay is attractive

Land is the scarce ingredient. In established infill locations, there is very little vacant land zoned for industrial use, and what exists is expensive. Zoning pressure tends to run toward residential and mixed-use conversion, not toward new industrial. Neighbors often resist trucks and loading docks. The result is that new supply of small-bay industrial in infill locations is genuinely difficult to add, while existing stock is slowly lost to redevelopment.

Demand is diverse. The tenants of small-bay buildings span many industries and many types of business. That diversity reduces the risk that any single sector’s difficulties will empty a building. A building with many tenants is not dependent on a single lease, and its income tends to be steadier than its lease terms might suggest.

Proximity commands a premium. As e-commerce matures and customers expect faster delivery, the value of being close to population centers continues to rise. That benefits last-mile operators directly, and it benefits every local business that serves homes and businesses nearby.

Shorter leases mean faster repricing. Small-bay leases are typically shorter than those on large distribution buildings. In a market where in-place rents are below market, shorter leases let an owner bring income to market more quickly. We believe that dynamic is one of the most dependable sources of income growth in industrial real estate.

It is under-served by large capital. Smaller buildings with many tenants are operationally demanding and often fall below the size that the largest institutional buyers prefer. We believe that leaves room for an owner who is willing to do the work.

What we look for

We acquire multi-tenant light industrial and shallow-bay warehouses of 20K–200K sq ft, in primary and secondary US markets, with particular depth in the Sun Belt, Mountain West and Southeast. We look at transactions of $20M–$150M in gross asset value, with equity checks of $10M–$75M. Within that range, we may consider a single building or a small portfolio.

We look for:

  • Infill locations where zoning and land cost make new supply difficult and replacement cost is high.
  • Short-term leases or rents below market, so income can be brought to market as leases roll.
  • Functional buildings with practical clear heights, adequate loading and truck access, and bay sizes that suit local businesses.
  • Low site coverage, where excess land can be put to productive use.
  • Owners who value certainty, such as long-term holders ready to transition, partnerships seeking an exit or sellers facing a debt maturity.

How we add value

Mark-to-market. We roll below-market leases to market rates as they expire, while working hard to keep good tenants who want to stay. A tenant who renews at a fair rent is worth more than a vacant bay waiting for a higher one.

Industrial outdoor storage (IOS). On low-coverage sites, excess land can be put to work for trailer parking, fleet parking and equipment storage. Demand for this use is high and the supply of suitably zoned land is scarce. We believe IOS is one of the most attractive niches in industrial real estate, and that it is often overlooked on sites where it sits alongside a building.

Functional capital. Roof replacements, LED lighting retrofits, truck court repairs, dock improvements, upgraded power and better site security are rarely glamorous. They are, however, what attracts and retains credit-grade tenants, and what keeps an older building competitive for decades.

Active leasing and tenant relationships. In a multi-tenant building, leasing is a continuous activity, not an occasional event. We work with operating partners and leasing teams who know the local business community, understand what tenants need and can fill a bay quickly when one becomes vacant.

Light repositioning. Demising larger bays into smaller ones where demand is deeper, improving signage and access, or upgrading office build-outs to suit modern tenants can open a building to a broader tenant base.

We believe the best industrial returns come from steady, careful work on buildings that tenants already need.

What a good small-bay building looks like

The best small-bay buildings are rarely the newest. They are the ones that work for the businesses inside them. In our experience, those buildings tend to share several qualities.

Bays that match local demand. In most infill markets, the deepest pool of tenants needs modest space: enough for a few vehicles, some storage, a small workshop and an office. Buildings with flexible demising, so that bays can be combined or divided as tenants grow, are easier to keep full.

Access that works. Grade-level doors for vans and light trucks, dock-high loading where tenants need it, and truck courts that allow vehicles to maneuver safely. Poor access is one of the hardest problems to fix after the fact.

Power and utilities. Light manufacturers and fabricators often need more power than a pure storage user. Buildings that can deliver it, or be upgraded to deliver it, serve a broader tenant base.

Visibility and convenience. Many small-bay tenants serve walk-in customers or rely on being easy to find. Frontage, signage and parking matter more than they do in a distribution building.

A site with room. Excess land on a low-coverage site is flexibility: for outdoor storage, for parking, for expansion or simply for a more functional truck court.

Working with tenants

A multi-tenant industrial building is, in a sense, a small business community, and the owner sets its tone. We favor practical, responsive management: fixing a roof leak quickly, keeping lots clean and secure, and being straightforward about renewals well before a lease expires. Small business owners remember landlords who were fair with them, and they tell other small business owners. Over a long hold, that reputation is worth a great deal.

Why the timing is attractive

Industrial real estate is not immune to cycles. After a period of very rapid rent growth, industrial markets broadly have cooled, and new supply delivered in recent years has raised vacancy in parts of the bulk distribution market. We believe that cooling is most pronounced where new supply is easiest to add, which is not where we invest. In infill small-bay, the constraints on new supply remain, and many buildings still carry in-place rents below current market levels. A cooler market also brings more motivated sellers and less competition from capital chasing the sector’s headlines.

The risks we watch

Tenant credit. Small businesses fail more often than large corporations. A diverse roster mitigates that risk but does not eliminate it. We study tenant mix, payment history and industry concentration carefully, and we underwrite realistic downtime and leasing costs between tenants.

Rollover concentration. Short leases are an opportunity in a rising market and a risk in a falling one. We look at when leases roll and avoid buildings where too much expires at once without a credible plan.

Functional obsolescence. Some older buildings have clear heights, column spacing or loading that no longer suit modern users. We underwrite to what tenants in the submarket actually need, and we pass on buildings that capital cannot reasonably fix.

Environmental risk. Industrial sites can carry environmental history. We commission thorough environmental diligence and do not buy assets whose risks we cannot understand and price.

Operating intensity. Multi-tenant buildings require attentive management. We work only with partners who have a demonstrable history of operating them well.

Why permanent capital suits small-bay industrial

A multi-tenant infill building is a long game. Leases roll over years, not quarters. Capital improvements pay back gradually. And the scarcity of infill land is a structural feature that, we believe, will continue to reward owners for a very long time. Capital with fixed fund lives often must sell just as an asset’s rents reach market. Caldrion invests its own permanent capital, so we can keep the building, keep improving it and let the income compound.

If you own, broker or operate an infill industrial asset that fits these criteria, we would be glad to hear from you.

This article reflects Caldrion’s views as of November 2026. It is not an offer of securities or investment advice.

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